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  • Inflation since the Pandemic: Lessons and Challenges
    Abstract: This paper reviews the drivers of the post-pandemic U S inflation surge and subsequent decline, including the behavior and role of inflation expectations The sharp rise in inflation reflected severe imbalances between supply and demand stemming from the shocks of the pandemic and the policy response
  • Quantifying the Inflationary Impact of Fiscal Stimulus Under . . .
    Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total aggregate demand effect Key words: inflation, fiscal policy, supply constraints
  • Unpacking the Causes of Pandemic-Era Inflation in the US
    The rise in the inflation rate has been attributed to many factors The US response to the COVID-19 pandemic included a series of federal initiatives, notably the CARES Act and the American Rescue Plan, which collectively authorized roughly $5 trillion in government spending
  • Stimulus money led to more inflation in the U. S. , Fed study . . .
    The findings of the research align with another study from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in December that also identified short-term inflationary effects linked to fiscal stimulus in
  • Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic . . .
    This paper investigates the fiscal impact of the American Rescue Plan (ARP) on the post-pandemic surge in U S inflation In the existing literature, the dominant strategy for identifying inflation determinants is through structural or reduced-form equation modeling; however, a definitive consensus on the causes of the U S inflationary episode
  • Quantifying the Inflationary Impact of Fiscal Stimulus Under . . .
    Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total aggregate demand effect
  • Quantifying the Inflationary Impact of Fiscal Stimulus under . . .
    This paper builds on Baqaee and Farhi (2022) and di Giovanni et al (2022) to quantify the contribution of fiscal policy to U S inflation over the December 2019-June 2022 period Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks explain roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total aggregate demand effect





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