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  • Steve Hou (@stevehou) Posts X
    This macro regime also explains why the global nature of our value chain indices matters The US equity market—especially US large-cap tech—has become frothy and overowned
  • It turns out the answer was yes just a day later. The marker was so . . .
    Steve Hou (@stevehou) 16 likes 3 replies It turns out the answer was yes just a day later The marker was so outrageously overbought that it just doesn’t take much of anything negative to tip over Levered buyers need to sell which creates a cascade Friday weekend prob exacerbated a bit We are in this perpetual “thematic momentum + macro conditions” market Inflation is one of the
  • The AI Bubble Is Widely Misunderstood | Steve Hou - YouTube
    AI may be the most powerful economic force since the internet, but its true impact remains deeply uncertain Steve Hou, Senior Quant Researcher at Bloomberg
  • When is the supply e ect large in the government bond market?
    The rest of the macro time series data comes from either Global Financial Data (GFD) or the FRED databases For the calculation of the stock- bond return correlation, I use the S P 500 total return index and the 10-Year Treasury bond return index series from the GFD database
  • Wall Street Is Rushing to Fund the AI Bonanza in Every Conceivable Way
    From giant debt deals to IPOs, tech companies keep raking in investor cash
  • Economists Weigh In on the Future of Work and AI - WSJ
    How 16 top economists think AI will change the job market, and how to prepare
  • After a day of selloff, we are back to regular programming. 10y yield . . .
    Steve Hou (@stevehou) 7 likes 661 views After a day of selloff, we are back to regular programming 10y yield and oil price have both declined while stocks roared Market believes (correctly imo) that inflation risks and the risks of overheating are both overstated notwithstanding near term noisy macro data
  • Seems to be affirmed by today’s price action:
    And if macro fundamentals improved, lower rates and cheaper energy, I still wouldn't expect this pattern to change materially We might just see a migration of "bottlenecks" bid while the quality laggards march gradually upwards
  • Ira Jersey, US Fixed Income (@IraFJersey) Posts X
    Ira Jersey, US Fixed Income IraFJersey Jun 12 Latest Macro Matter's Podcast on "Price of Football" We discuss football soccer finances with @KieranMaguire of Liverpool Univ and Price of Football Podcast With me is Business of Sports Co-Host @dsassower Spotify - lnkd in eirwH33B Apple - lnkd in eG9J5tFc
  • Cem Karsan (@jam_croissant) Posts and Replies X
    stevehou Jun 11 I think: inflation pressure is overstated; labor market inflecting higher not overheating; private credit risk eh; nonbank leverage is whatever; the Fed isn’t doing YCC or need to backstop the Treasury mkt yet; 10y has just about peaked and 4 5% seems fair; we’ll be alright 🤷🏻‍♂️ Cem Karsan 🥐 jam_croissant
  • @aahan_prometheus (@AahanPrometheus) Posts X
    Alright, let’s do this twitter thing 1 I started @prometheusmacro in 2020 as a free blog to develop and share my ideas on macro and investing Fast forward to today and Prometheus is a fast growing macro research firm servicing some of the biggest institutions in the world…





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