英文字典中文字典


英文字典中文字典51ZiDian.com



中文字典辞典   英文字典 a   b   c   d   e   f   g   h   i   j   k   l   m   n   o   p   q   r   s   t   u   v   w   x   y   z       







请输入英文单字，中文词皆可：

安装中文字典英文字典查询工具!


中文字典英文字典工具:
选择颜色:
输入中英文单字

































































英文字典中文字典相关资料:


  • The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    The New York Innovation Center bridges the worlds of finance, technology, and innovation and generates insights into high-value central bank-related opportunities The growing role of nonbank financial institutions, or NBFIs, in U S financial markets is a transformational trend with implications for monetary policy and financial stability
  • US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) - YCharts
    US Recession Probability is at 30 45%, compared to 30 22% last month and 50 04% last year This is higher than the long term average of 15 16%
  • US - Probability of Recession in A Year (10Y-3M Model)
    The New York Fed uses the spread between the 10-year and 3-month Treasury yield to calculate the probability of a recession in the U S for the next 12 months
  • Smoothed U. S. Recession Probabilities - FRED | St. Louis Fed
    Smoothed recession probabilities for the United States are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales
  • Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
    The New York Fed’s estimate of the probability of recession This website contains much useful information along with an estimate of the probability of a recession in the United States 12 months ahead
  • How Uncertain Is the Estimated Probability of a Future Recession . . .
    In this post, we describe our research on a related issue: how much uncertainty is there around recession probability estimates from economic models? In the United States, a number of predictive models for recessions rely on information from the term structure of interest rates based on Treasury bonds
  • The Fed - Predicting Recession Probabilities Using the Slope of the . . .
    In the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's December 2017 survey of primary dealers, the median probability attached to a recession in six months' time was 10 percent Survey results are available at https: www newyorkfed org markets primarydealer_survey_questions html
  • What Is the Probability of a Recession? The Message from Yield Spreads
    For example, at the time of this writing, the New York Fed’s website reports a 66% probability of recession based on the nominal 10-year-three-month yield spread using July 2023 data as the latest predictive information, with the model’s parameters estimated using data from January 1959 to December 2009
  • Recession Probability Models – January 2025
    Currently (last updated January 3, 2025 using data through December 2024) this “Yield Curve” model shows a 29 3972% probability of a recession in the United States twelve months ahead For comparison purposes, it showed a 33 5634% probability through November 2024, and a chart going back to 1960 is seen at the “ Probability Of U S
  • USA: NY Fed Probability of Recession in US Twelve Months Ahead . . .
    The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator: this model uses the slope of the yield curve, or “term spread,” to calculate the probability of a recession in the United States twelve months ahead Here, the term spread is defined as the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates





中文字典-英文字典  2005-2009